The world rarely hands us all the facts. The leaders who thrive aren’t the ones who wait for certainty — they’re the ones who can move forward despite the fog.

Mental Sparks

• Waiting for perfect information is often an excuse to avoid acting.
• Good decisions aren’t about knowing everything — they’re about reducing the odds of being wrong.
• Clarity comes from action, not the other way around.

Insights & Lessons
A few years ago, I was debating whether to launch a new product. My market research was incomplete, customer feedback was nonexistent, and I had no guarantee it would work. Part of me wanted to stall until I had more information. But the truth was, more info would take months — and even then, it wouldn’t erase the risk.

That’s when I learned the value of decision thresholds. You rarely need 100% certainty to act. Often, 60–70% is enough to make an informed bet. The rest comes down to judgment, principles, and the willingness to course-correct quickly.

When information is scarce, I focus on three questions:

1. What’s the worst that could happen, and can I live with it?
2. What’s the smallest action I can take to test the decision?
3. How quickly can I detect if I’m wrong?

Those three answers won’t guarantee success, but they’ll keep you moving instead of stuck in “analysis paralysis.”

Daniel’s Daily Lens – One Question I’m Asking
This week, I’ve been asking myself: What decision am I delaying because I’m waiting for perfect clarity? Every time I catch myself in that pattern, I force a small action that creates more information.

Quote Worth Keeping:
“In the absence of certainty, act with probability.” – Charlie Munger

Practical Takeaway:
Pick one decision you’ve been putting off. Give yourself 48 hours to gather the key facts, set a threshold for “enough information,” and act. Speed is also a form of intelligence.

Keep building,
Daniel